BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Tarleton St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 10 Overall: (7-0) Overall Strength = 134.20
Conference: United Athletic Conference Record: (2-0) | District: 1B-01 Record: (5-0)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08-29-2026 Home W * 125.53 49 30 1B 107 (3-5) Prairie View A&M -6.27 14.45 25.27
2 09-05-2026 Away W 139.22 20 13 1A 121 (2-5) Bowling Green 7.42 5.69 -0.42
3 09-12-2026 Away W * 124.19 27 24 1B 63 (3-4) McNeese St -7.61 12.67 10.61
4 09-19-2026 Home W * 128.05 45 20 1B 99 (2-5) Merrimack -3.75 * 22.21 28.75
5 10-03-2026 Home W 123.56 56 21 NA 26 (1-6) Chicago St -8.24 * 51.36 43.24
6 10-10-2026 Away W * * 144.58 40 32 1B 8 (6-2) Austin Peay 12.78 -16.06 -4.78
7 10-17-2026 Home W * * 137.48 49 35 1B 32 (2-5) Central Arkansas 5.67 12.72 8.33
8 10/24/2026 Away * * 1B 69 (1-6) West Georgia 17.66
9 10/31/2026 Home * * 1B 73 (2-5) Eastern Kentucky 24.11
10 11/07/2026 Home * * 1B 20 (4-4) Abilene Christian 8.05
11 11/14/2026 Away * * 1B 26 (4-2) West Florida 4.50
12 11/21/2026 Away * * 1B 38 (4-3) North Alabama 8.49
Averages 131.80 40.9 25.0
Best game: 144.58 = 8 point win over Austin Peay
Worst game: 123.56 = 35 point win over Chicago St
Team stdev: 8.46